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The Pig That Dies #09_06 - 9η Εβδομάδα 2006 - sed.gr
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ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
Εγγραφή: 06 Αύγ 2005, 14:37
Τοποθεσία: ATHENS
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27 Φεβ 2006, 05:06

Καλημέρα :),

Στο CTS Daily 25 βλέπουμε ότι το τελευταίο κύμα επεκτάθηκε. Περαιτέρω άνοδος, αμέσως ή μετά από ένα ΡΤ είναι πολύ πιθανή. Αλλαγή κύματος θα έχουμε με ένα ημερήσιο κερί με χαμηλό κάτω από 5775 και/ή υψηλό κάτω από 5825.

Η μέτρηση Έλλιοτ ενός C σαν προώθηση με επεκτεινόμενο πέμπτο κύμα ισχύει ακόμη. Η πράσινη γραμμή 0-2 έχει διασπασθεί, αλλά αυτό δεν οδήγησε σε χαμηλότερες τιμές, αφού η διόρθωση που ακολούθησε διαμορφώθηκε σα Running Correction, δλδ ο Δαχ, αντί να διορθώσει προς τα κάτω, διόρθωσε πλαγιοανοδικά. Δύο σενάρια θεωρώ πιθανά:

α. είτε τελείωσε περίπου στο 5780 μία πρώτη προώθηση [color=red0]i"" και η Running Correction ήταν ένα [color=red0]ii"". Σύμφωνα με αυτό είμαστε τώρα στο [color=red0]iii"" και από αυτό έχουμε δεί το [color=green0]i""" και ένα μέρος του [color=green0]ii""", είτε

β. η Running Correction ήταν ένα [color=green0]iv""" και είμαστε τώρα στο [color=green0]v""", που σχηματίζεται σαν ΕΔΤ. Η κίνηση 5783-5884 δε μπορεί να είναι το [color=green0]v""", αφού δε διορθώθηκε in-time.

Τα δύο σενάρια απεικονίζονται και στο 5λ διάγραμμα (τρίτο διάγραμμα), όπου το σενάριο α. απεικονίζεται σαν [color=ff00ff0]εναλλακτικό σενάριο.

Η [color=#9900990]χοντρή μωβ γραμμή χωρίζει τα δύο σενάρια: όσο ο Δαχ βρίσκεται από πάνω, ισχύει το σενάριο α και ένα κύμα [color=ff00ff0](iii) θα ξεκινήσει σύντομα. Στα πλαίσια αυτού του σεναρίου θα μπορούσε το δεύτερο κύμα του [color=ff00ff0](ii) να διαμορφωθεί σαν υπερβαίνον b και να φθάσει το πολύ μέχρο το 5923. Η [color=blue0]χοντρή μπλε γραμμή επιτρέπεται να διασπασθεί στο σενάριο β., όχι όμως και το 62 ΡΤ περίπου στο 5820: αν ο Δαχ πέσει παρακάτω χωρίς να έχει κάνει προηγουμένως νέο υψηλό, ακυρώνονται και τα δύο σενάρια.

Trading: Υπάρχουσες θέσεις λογκ πρέπει να ασφαλισθούν με στοπ κάτω από τη μωβ γραμμή, για την ώρα περίπου στο 5838-45. Αν ξεπερασθούν οι 5900 μονάδες, καλό είναι να υλοποιηθεί τουλάχιστον ένα μέρος των κερδών (50%).

ΥΓ.: Όλες οι τιμές είναι Δαχ.

[img0]http://img99.imageshack.us/img99/1568/060226dax15ih.png[/img0]
[img0]http://img110.imageshack.us/img110/854/060226dax29hz.png[/img0]
[img0]http://img160.imageshack.us/img160/171/060226dax36ob.png[/img0]

ctt
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Τοποθεσία: ATHENS
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27 Φεβ 2006, 05:13

FDax
[img0]http://img204.imageshack.us/img204/8988/060226fdax10er.png[/img0]

ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
Εγγραφή: 06 Αύγ 2005, 14:37
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27 Φεβ 2006, 05:13

Dow
[img0]http://img162.imageshack.us/img162/1355/060226djia10ob.png[/img0]

ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
Εγγραφή: 06 Αύγ 2005, 14:37
Τοποθεσία: ATHENS
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27 Φεβ 2006, 11:26

Βραχυπρόθεσμος στόχος 5922 ΦΔαχ. Μεσοπρόθεσμος ενεργός στόχος: 6019 ΦΔαχ.

[img0]http://img524.imageshack.us/img524/7960/060226fdax25th.png[/img0]

ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
Εγγραφή: 06 Αύγ 2005, 14:37
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27 Φεβ 2006, 19:34

Ο βραχυπρόθεσμος στόχος επιτεύχθηκε. Με τη δομή που δημιούργησε έως εδώ, έφθασε την 5η επέκταση και των τριών πρώτων βαθμών, καθώς και την πρώτη του τέταρτου. Ως εκ τούτου δεν αναμένεται να περάσει αυτό το εμπόδιο άμεσα. Η διόρθωση που θα επακολουθήσει θα είναι πιθανόν 3ου βαθμού, ως εκ τούτου θα πρέπει να προσεχθούν όλα τα ΡΤ της κίνησης 5848-5926 και ιδιαίτερα το 62%. Μετά τη διόρθωση θα ακολουθήσει η επόμενη ανοδική κίνηση προς το 6019.

Αν κάνει break out προς τα πάνω άμεσα, στόχος είναι η επόμενη κόκκινη ζώνη.

[img0]http://img393.imageshack.us/img393/5104/060226fdax31oe.png[/img0]



Edited By ctt on 1141061767

ctt
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28 Φεβ 2006, 10:10

Καλημέρα. Ουδέν νεώτερον. Διόρθωση.

[img0]http://img140.imageshack.us/img140/5800/060228fdax10mt.png[/img0]

ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
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28 Φεβ 2006, 11:18

O Dow

[img0]http://img47.imageshack.us/img47/3774/060228djia19xl.png[/img0]

ctt
Δημοσιεύσεις: 645
Εγγραφή: 06 Αύγ 2005, 14:37
Τοποθεσία: ATHENS
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28 Φεβ 2006, 11:46

O NDX

[img0]http://img504.imageshack.us/img504/4941/060226ndx25kc.png[/img0]

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